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2024-12-14 11:20:47

CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.Market news: South Korean prosecutors summoned the Minister of Health to participate in the investigation.The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.


Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.


CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).Huajin Securities: Concerned about the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea, Huajin Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 11th, the 2024 China E-sports Industry Annual Conference was held in Beijing, and the 2024 E-sports Annual Report was released during the conference. The data showed that the e-sports industry showed a positive development trend. "High-quality IP+ games" resonance mode or long-term empowerment game industry development. 2) The popularity of Marvel Comics is unprecedented, and the head manufacturers inject new IP vitality into the game. The achievements of "Marvel Comics Strive for the Front" may set a benchmark for the market, open the world fun competition+high-quality IP or give birth to new topics. 3) "Adapting to local conditions" is both internal and external, and the IP effect is remarkable. Based on the model of Watching Pioneer 2, the "big IP+ competition" has been deeply cultivated. The globalization has brought unprecedented popularity to Marvel Comics, and its novel model is expected to give full play to the value of high-quality IP, provide guidance and reference for industrial development, and empower the development of the game industry for a long time. 4) The annual meeting of e-sports industry was held, and the data showed that China e-sports was full of vitality. High-quality IP+ games are expected to continue to inject vitality into the game industry, paying attention to the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea.Yuncong Technology: "The R&D team of large-scale model agent products is basically dissolved" is all false information. Yuncong Technology said on the interactive platform that the company's R&D team is stable at present, and a rigorous and meticulous hierarchical division of labor system has been established for the research and development of large-scale model related products. The configuration of R&D echelon will be flexibly adjusted according to the continuous evolution of large model technology and the changes of market demand of agent products. The statements of "the No.1 position of the big model algorithm" and "the R&D team of the big model agent product is basically dissolved" mentioned in the question are false information, and the company reserves the right to pursue legal responsibility for this. The company has been unswervingly promoting the research and product development of large-scale model and agent-related technologies.

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